Thinking in Bets

Making Smarter Decisions When You Don’t Have All the Facts

Annie Duke


I really wanted to enjoy this book. It has all the things I like; probabilistic thinking, heuristics, retrospectives and post-mortems. I just struggled with the writing itself; it took me a long time to struggle through it.

I did learn some things:

.. and there was a shout-out to paper that harkened back all the way to my thesis work and our efforts to “hide the result” to avoid bias. (nice to see my former colleague Aaron Roodman in that article!)

My main takeaway is that I need to start playing poker to improve my decision making.