TL;DR
I really wanted to enjoy this book. It has all the things I like; probabilistic thinking, heuristics, retrospectives and post-mortems. I just struggled with the writing itself; it took me a long time to struggle through it.
I did learn some things:
- Poker vs chess and the role of luck and probability.
- the ability to disassociate one’s luck from one’s decision making.
- CUDOS
- Future thinking (the 10-10-10 rule of “What are the consequences of each of my options in ten minutes? Ten months? Ten years?” really helps with the scale of the problem)
.. and there was a shout-out to paper that harkened back all the way to my thesis work and our efforts to “hide the result” to avoid bias. (nice to see my former colleague Aaron Roodman in that article!)
My main takeaway is that I need to start playing poker to improve my decision making.